Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SigmaStar Technology Ltd (301536.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.72 - $8.85$7.17
Multi-Stage$12.98 - $14.29$13.62
Blended Fair Value$10.40
Current Price$64.36
Upside-83.85%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.140.030.860.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--466.37%-97.10%88,597.96%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.24%0.06%1.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)262.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)103.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)158.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)52.4432.7819.67
Cash Retained (M)158.64158.64158.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-52.44-32.78-19.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)106.20125.87138.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)426.45426.45426.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.250.300.33
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.250.300.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.490.540.57
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.72$7.17$8.85
Upside / Downside-91.11%-88.85%-86.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)262.21259.58256.99254.42251.87249.36256.84
Payout Ratio39.50%49.60%59.70%69.80%79.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)103.56128.75153.42177.58201.25224.42237.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)119.76120.98122.20
Year 2 PV (M)132.73135.46138.21
Year 3 PV (M)142.91147.33151.84
Year 4 PV (M)150.64156.88163.32
Year 5 PV (M)156.25164.39172.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,831.365,082.945,344.89
Equity Value (M)5,533.655,807.976,093.31
Shares Outstanding (M)426.45426.45426.45
Fair Value$12.98$13.62$14.29
Upside / Downside-79.84%-78.84%-77.80%

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