Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

MH Robot & Automation Co., Ltd. (301199.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.59 - $47.15$26.99
Multi-Stage$65.90 - $72.84$69.30
Blended Fair Value$48.15
Current Price$27.42
Upside75.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.060.060.070.000.000.000.000.010.040.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-12.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-82.55%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.27%0.38%0.41%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)117.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)104.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23.5114.698.82
Cash Retained (M)104.21104.21104.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-23.51-14.69-8.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)80.7089.5295.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)146.68146.68146.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.550.610.65
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.550.610.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.640.700.74
WACC / Discount Rate1.57%1.57%1.57%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$17.59$26.99$47.15
Upside / Downside-35.86%-1.57%71.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)117.54116.37115.20114.05112.91111.78115.13
Payout Ratio11.34%27.08%42.81%58.54%74.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13.3331.5149.3166.7683.86100.60106.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.57%1.57%1.57%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)30.7131.0231.33
Year 2 PV (M)46.8447.8048.77
Year 3 PV (M)61.8063.7165.66
Year 4 PV (M)75.6578.7982.02
Year 5 PV (M)88.4593.0697.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,363.379,850.9510,358.62
Equity Value (M)9,666.8210,165.3210,684.25
Shares Outstanding (M)146.68146.68146.68
Fair Value$65.90$69.30$72.84
Upside / Downside140.35%152.74%165.64%

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