Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Wuxi Lihu Corporation Limited. (300694.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.37 - $27.59$10.96
Multi-Stage$3.97 - $4.34$4.15
Blended Fair Value$7.55
Current Price$12.02
Upside-37.15%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.12%6.36%0.100.050.060.070.080.060.080.080.060.07
YoY Growth--113.23%-15.87%-21.01%-6.19%33.33%-24.32%-2.63%27.27%-8.80%22.21%
Dividend Yield--0.73%0.46%0.54%0.70%0.87%0.50%0.32%0.55%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.273.922.35
Cash Retained (M)6.526.526.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.27-3.92-2.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.252.604.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)223.61223.61223.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.110.120.13
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate4.36%5.36%6.36%
Fair Value$5.37$10.96$27.59
Upside / Downside-55.32%-8.83%129.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31.3533.0334.8036.6738.6340.7041.92
Payout Ratio79.20%81.36%83.52%85.68%87.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24.8326.8729.0631.4233.9336.6338.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate4.36%5.36%6.36%
Year 1 PV (M)24.9825.2225.46
Year 2 PV (M)25.1225.6126.09
Year 3 PV (M)25.2525.9826.72
Year 4 PV (M)25.3526.3427.35
Year 5 PV (M)25.4426.6927.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)760.99798.16836.76
Equity Value (M)887.14927.99970.37
Shares Outstanding (M)223.61223.61223.61
Fair Value$3.97$4.15$4.34
Upside / Downside-66.99%-65.47%-63.90%

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