Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Ningbo Shuanglin Auto Parts Co.,Ltd. (300100.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$226.15 - $266.45$249.70
Multi-Stage$181.50 - $199.23$190.20
Blended Fair Value$219.95
Current Price$44.47
Upside394.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS44.49%8.44%0.190.000.710.200.220.030.150.020.100.13
YoY Growth--4,585.33%-99.42%255.86%-10.38%631.57%-80.00%655.30%-79.89%-22.67%52.05%
Dividend Yield--0.44%0.06%12.48%3.58%3.64%0.87%1.95%0.14%0.54%0.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)532.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)97.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)435.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)106.5666.6039.96
Cash Retained (M)435.11435.11435.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-106.56-66.60-39.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)328.55368.51395.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)397.69397.69397.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.830.930.99
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.830.930.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.071.171.24
WACC / Discount Rate-1.10%-1.10%-1.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$226.15$249.70$266.45
Upside / Downside408.56%461.51%499.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)532.81567.44604.33643.61685.44730.00751.90
Payout Ratio18.34%32.67%47.00%61.33%75.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)97.70185.38284.05394.76518.66657.00695.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.10%-1.10%-1.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)185.69187.45189.21
Year 2 PV (M)284.99290.42295.90
Year 3 PV (M)396.72408.11419.72
Year 4 PV (M)522.11542.19562.84
Year 5 PV (M)662.47694.46727.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)70,129.4473,516.7277,033.64
Equity Value (M)72,181.4275,639.3579,228.99
Shares Outstanding (M)397.69397.69397.69
Fair Value$181.50$190.20$199.23
Upside / Downside308.15%327.70%348.00%

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