Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

MicroPort NeuroTech Limited (2172.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.01 - $8.95$7.41
Multi-Stage$11.17 - $12.30$11.72
Blended Fair Value$9.57
Current Price$11.84
Upside-19.21%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.160.000.000.590.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.92%0.00%0.00%2.96%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)428.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)90.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)338.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)85.7053.5632.14
Cash Retained (M)338.26338.26338.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-85.70-53.56-32.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)252.55284.69306.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)579.64579.64579.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.440.490.53
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.440.490.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.590.650.68
WACC / Discount Rate7.64%7.64%7.64%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6.01$7.41$8.95
Upside / Downside-49.24%-37.42%-24.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)428.52424.23419.99415.79411.63407.52419.74
Payout Ratio21.06%34.85%48.64%62.43%76.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)90.26147.85204.27259.56313.72366.76388.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.64%7.64%7.64%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)135.96137.35138.74
Year 2 PV (M)172.75176.29179.87
Year 3 PV (M)201.86208.10214.47
Year 4 PV (M)224.36233.66243.25
Year 5 PV (M)241.21253.78266.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,499.305,785.666,083.83
Equity Value (M)6,475.456,794.847,127.01
Shares Outstanding (M)579.64579.64579.64
Fair Value$11.17$11.72$12.30
Upside / Downside-5.65%-0.99%3.85%

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