Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Park Systems Corp. (140860.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,109,955.85 - $1,307,716.06$1,225,521.46
Multi-Stage$853,665.13 - $937,091.37$894,598.42
Blended Fair Value$1,060,059.94
Current Price$285,500.00
Upside271.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS33.06%0.00%398.35397.31247.03171.88115.1295.4975.8046.7746.020.00
YoY Growth--0.26%60.84%43.72%49.30%20.55%25.98%62.07%1.62%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.19%0.24%0.16%0.13%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)45,693.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,471.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)42,221.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,138.725,711.703,427.02
Cash Retained (M)42,221.6742,221.6742,221.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,138.72-5,711.70-3,427.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)33,082.9436,509.9638,794.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.956.956.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share4,760.825,253.995,582.77
LTM Dividend per Share499.63499.63499.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share4,760.825,253.995,582.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend5,260.455,753.626,082.40
WACC / Discount Rate-0.29%-0.29%-0.29%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,109,955.85$1,225,521.46$1,307,716.06
Upside / Downside288.78%329.25%358.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)45,693.6248,663.7151,826.8555,195.5958,783.3162,604.2264,482.35
Payout Ratio7.60%24.08%40.56%57.04%73.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,471.9611,717.5721,020.4531,483.2043,217.2956,343.8059,646.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.29%-0.29%-0.29%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)11,640.9911,751.3311,861.67
Year 2 PV (M)20,746.5921,141.7521,540.64
Year 3 PV (M)30,869.9431,756.1032,659.07
Year 4 PV (M)42,098.5143,717.5045,382.75
Year 5 PV (M)54,526.5157,160.1659,894.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,772,236.436,051,037.616,340,509.16
Equity Value (M)5,932,118.976,216,564.456,511,847.90
Shares Outstanding (M)6.956.956.95
Fair Value$853,665.13$894,598.42$937,091.37
Upside / Downside199.01%213.34%228.23%

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