Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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HANA Micron Inc. (067310.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,292.05 - $9,699.89$7,114.56
Multi-Stage$16,999.29 - $18,745.07$17,854.95
Blended Fair Value$12,484.76
Current Price$22,150.00
Upside-43.64%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS1.09%0.00%82.86105.50136.14135.5268.6278.490.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---21.46%-22.51%0.46%97.49%-12.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.71%0.41%0.96%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)21,609.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,448.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)14,161.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,321.932,701.211,620.72
Cash Retained (M)14,161.4614,161.4614,161.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,321.93-2,701.21-1,620.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,839.5311,460.2612,540.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)57.6957.6957.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share170.56198.65217.38
LTM Dividend per Share129.11129.11129.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share170.56198.65217.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend299.67327.76346.49
WACC / Discount Rate4.70%4.70%4.70%
Growth Rate-0.91%0.09%1.09%
Fair Value$5,292.05$7,114.56$9,699.89
Upside / Downside-76.11%-67.88%-56.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)21,609.6721,628.9021,648.1521,667.4221,686.7121,706.0122,357.19
Payout Ratio34.47%45.57%56.68%67.79%78.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,448.209,857.0712,270.2114,687.6517,109.3819,535.4120,680.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.70%4.70%4.70%
Growth Rate-0.91%0.09%1.09%
Year 1 PV (M)9,320.529,414.589,508.64
Year 2 PV (M)10,970.7611,193.3111,418.10
Year 3 PV (M)12,417.3612,797.1213,184.53
Year 4 PV (M)13,677.4014,237.9414,815.54
Year 5 PV (M)14,766.7315,527.0416,318.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)919,532.27966,877.591,016,153.32
Equity Value (M)980,685.041,030,047.581,081,398.49
Shares Outstanding (M)57.6957.6957.69
Fair Value$16,999.29$17,854.95$18,745.07
Upside / Downside-23.25%-19.39%-15.37%

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