Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sun.King Technology Group Limited (0580.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.57 - $26.86$25.16
Multi-Stage$13.42 - $14.83$14.11
Blended Fair Value$19.63
Current Price$1.10
Upside1,684.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.030.070.040.040.030.010.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%-65.07%63.08%5.25%62.22%77.53%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.71%4.09%4.25%3.96%1.73%1.11%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)233.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)219.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)46.7929.2417.54
Cash Retained (M)219.40219.40219.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-46.79-29.24-17.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)172.61190.16201.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,611.081,611.081,611.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.120.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.120.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.120.130.13
WACC / Discount Rate-0.81%-0.81%-0.81%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$9.57$25.16$26.86
Upside / Downside769.77%2,186.91%2,342.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)233.93231.59229.27226.98224.71222.47229.14
Payout Ratio6.21%22.97%39.73%56.48%73.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.5353.1991.08128.21164.58200.22211.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.81%-0.81%-0.81%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)53.0953.6354.17
Year 2 PV (M)90.7292.5894.46
Year 3 PV (M)127.44131.38135.40
Year 4 PV (M)163.26170.03177.00
Year 5 PV (M)198.21208.53219.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)20,982.6122,075.2223,212.88
Equity Value (M)21,615.3222,731.3623,893.19
Shares Outstanding (M)1,611.081,611.081,611.08
Fair Value$13.42$14.11$14.83
Upside / Downside1,119.70%1,182.67%1,248.23%

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