Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Korea Electric Power Corporation (015760.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$318,964.32 - $947,667.38$504,399.87
Multi-Stage$344,842.83 - $378,713.80$361,457.91
Blended Fair Value$432,928.89
Current Price$39,300.00
Upside1,001.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.02%-3.80%197.6870.6065.971,265.12126.64154.77933.682,087.953,253.19638.48
YoY Growth--180.00%7.03%-94.79%898.99%-18.18%-83.42%-55.28%-35.82%409.52%119.21%
Dividend Yield--0.91%0.32%0.37%5.59%0.55%0.80%3.08%6.36%7.00%1.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8,237,058.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)256,967.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,980,091.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,647,411.601,029,632.25617,779.35
Cash Retained (M)7,980,091.007,980,091.007,980,091.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,647,411.60-1,029,632.25-617,779.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,332,679.406,950,458.757,362,311.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)641.96641.96641.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share9,864.5410,826.8711,468.42
LTM Dividend per Share400.28400.28400.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share9,864.5410,826.8711,468.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend10,264.8211,227.1511,868.70
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate3.02%4.02%5.02%
Fair Value$318,964.32$504,399.87$947,667.38
Upside / Downside711.61%1,183.46%2,311.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8,237,058.008,567,859.968,911,946.999,269,852.639,642,131.8410,029,361.8510,330,242.71
Payout Ratio3.12%20.50%37.87%55.25%72.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)256,967.001,756,044.273,375,113.605,121,395.037,002,494.999,026,425.679,555,474.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate3.02%4.02%5.02%
Year 1 PV (M)1,635,607.371,651,484.591,667,361.80
Year 2 PV (M)2,928,030.482,985,152.513,042,826.35
Year 3 PV (M)4,138,272.384,259,959.484,384,008.99
Year 4 PV (M)5,270,201.285,477,836.465,691,547.35
Year 5 PV (M)6,327,524.046,640,658.246,966,068.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)201,077,044.34211,027,871.58221,368,810.92
Equity Value (M)221,376,679.89232,042,962.85243,120,623.95
Shares Outstanding (M)641.96641.96641.96
Fair Value$344,842.83$361,457.91$378,713.80
Upside / Downside777.46%819.74%863.65%

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