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HMM Co.,Ltd (011200.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$196,840.17 - $467,226.91$437,860.04
Multi-Stage$68,036.71 - $74,505.08$71,211.34
Blended Fair Value$254,535.69
Current Price$20,050.00
Upside1,169.50%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS57.50%80.86%515.57573.24286.5693.970.0253.1919.5014.561.381.38
YoY Growth---10.06%100.04%204.96%384,772.00%-99.95%172.77%33.93%957.45%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.64%3.61%1.41%0.32%0.00%1.72%0.53%0.33%0.02%0.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,405,633.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)549,368.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,856,265.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)481,126.60300,704.13180,422.48
Cash Retained (M)1,856,265.001,856,265.001,856,265.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-481,126.60-300,704.13-180,422.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,375,138.401,555,560.881,675,842.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,023.961,023.961,023.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,342.961,519.171,636.63
LTM Dividend per Share536.51536.51536.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,342.961,519.171,636.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,879.482,055.682,173.15
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$196,840.17$437,860.04$467,226.91
Upside / Downside881.75%2,083.84%2,230.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,405,633.002,561,999.152,728,529.092,905,883.483,094,765.913,295,925.693,394,803.46
Payout Ratio22.84%36.27%49.70%63.13%76.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)549,368.00929,221.381,356,134.621,834,620.632,369,580.142,966,333.123,140,193.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)864,256.20872,448.21880,640.21
Year 2 PV (M)1,173,138.871,195,483.871,218,039.68
Year 3 PV (M)1,476,101.441,518,475.011,561,651.84
Year 4 PV (M)1,773,228.261,841,421.621,911,563.21
Year 5 PV (M)2,064,602.622,164,323.702,267,861.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)62,315,340.7065,325,194.9668,450,243.42
Equity Value (M)69,666,668.1172,917,347.3776,289,999.70
Shares Outstanding (M)1,023.961,023.961,023.96
Fair Value$68,036.71$71,211.34$74,505.08
Upside / Downside239.34%255.17%271.60%

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