DDM Analysis: 0053.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$32.46 - $52.75	$41.56
Multi-Stage	$67.21 - $73.99	$70.53
Blended Fair Value	$56.05
Current Price	$9.00
Upside	522.74%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	0.38	0.26	0.26	0.26	0.51	0.51	0.51	0.52	0.52
YoY Growth	-	-	-100.00%	50.87%	-0.49%	-0.64%	-49.62%	0.31%	-0.14%	-0.82%	-0.09%	0.15%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	4.36%	3.40%	2.54%	2.24%	3.58%	3.27%	3.40%	4.50%	4.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	972.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	237.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)	734.10

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	194.41	121.51	72.90
Cash Retained (M)	734.10	734.10	734.10
(-) Cash Required (M)	-194.41	-121.51	-72.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)	539.69	612.59	661.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	325.22	325.22	325.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.66	1.88	2.03
LTM Dividend per Share	0.73	0.73	0.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.66	1.88	2.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.39	2.62	2.76
WACC / Discount Rate	6.34%	6.34%	6.34%
Growth Rate	-0.95%	0.05%	1.05%
Fair Value	$32.46	$41.56	$52.75
Upside / Downside	260.69%	361.78%	486.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	972.05	972.52	972.99	973.46	973.93	974.40	1,003.63
Payout Ratio	24.48%	37.58%	50.69%	63.79%	76.90%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	237.95	365.50	493.18	620.98	748.91	876.96	928.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.34%	6.34%	6.34%
Growth Rate	-0.95%	0.05%	1.05%
Year 1 PV (M)	340.26	343.70	347.13
Year 2 PV (M)	427.42	436.10	444.86
Year 3 PV (M)	501.02	516.35	531.99
Year 4 PV (M)	562.51	585.57	609.33
Year 5 PV (M)	613.20	644.78	677.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)	19,412.46	20,412.40	21,453.12
Equity Value (M)	21,856.87	22,938.89	24,064.09
Shares Outstanding (M)	325.22	325.22	325.22
Fair Value	$67.21	$70.53	$73.99
Upside / Downside	646.73%	683.69%	722.14%

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Guoco Group Limited (0053.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener