DDM Analysis: 002716.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.39 - $0.53	$0.46
Multi-Stage	$0.51 - $0.56	$0.53
Blended Fair Value	$0.50
Current Price	$7.02
Upside	-92.94%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-35.62%	-15.65%	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.09	0.12	0.10	0.07	0.06
YoY Growth	-	-	-6.12%	4.04%	-22.96%	69.56%	-91.33%	-21.60%	16.38%	44.27%	18.83%	5.40%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.26%	0.34%	0.32%	0.46%	0.33%	5.04%	1.42%	0.51%	0.33%	0.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	204.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	54.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)	149.92

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	40.98	25.61	15.37
Cash Retained (M)	149.92	149.92	149.92
(-) Cash Required (M)	-40.98	-25.61	-15.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)	108.95	124.31	134.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,821.52	2,821.52	2,821.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.04	0.05
LTM Dividend per Share	0.02	0.02	0.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.04	0.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.06	0.06	0.07
WACC / Discount Rate	12.64%	12.64%	12.64%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$0.39	$0.46	$0.53
Upside / Downside	-94.46%	-93.43%	-92.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	204.88	202.83	200.80	198.79	196.81	194.84	200.68
Payout Ratio	26.82%	39.46%	52.09%	64.73%	77.36%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	54.96	80.04	104.61	128.68	152.26	175.35	185.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	12.64%	12.64%	12.64%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	70.34	71.06	71.77
Year 2 PV (M)	80.79	82.45	84.13
Year 3 PV (M)	87.34	90.05	92.80
Year 4 PV (M)	90.83	94.59	98.47
Year 5 PV (M)	91.93	96.72	101.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,009.84	1,062.42	1,117.17
Equity Value (M)	1,431.07	1,497.28	1,566.05
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,821.52	2,821.52	2,821.52
Fair Value	$0.51	$0.53	$0.56
Upside / Downside	-92.77%	-92.44%	-92.09%

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Hunan Silver Co.,Ltd. (002716.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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