DDM Analysis: 002559.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$4.41 - $22.98	$7.95
Multi-Stage	$3.82 - $4.18	$3.99
Blended Fair Value	$5.97
Current Price	$11.25
Upside	-46.92%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-6.25%	5.95%	0.14	0.15	0.15	0.15	0.05	0.20	0.12	0.12	0.10	0.08
YoY Growth	-	-	-4.17%	-0.03%	0.00%	207.02%	-75.38%	66.83%	-0.23%	18.89%	24.43%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.42%	1.39%	1.85%	2.22%	0.85%	3.42%	2.02%	2.12%	1.12%	0.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	75.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	60.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)	14.81

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	15.04	9.40	5.64
Cash Retained (M)	14.81	14.81	14.81
(-) Cash Required (M)	-15.04	-9.40	-5.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-0.23	5.41	9.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	548.11	548.11	548.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.01	0.02
LTM Dividend per Share	0.11	0.11	0.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.01	0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.11	0.12	0.13
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	3.95%	4.95%	5.95%
Fair Value	$4.41	$7.95	$22.98
Upside / Downside	-60.76%	-29.33%	104.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	75.22	78.94	82.86	86.96	91.27	95.79	98.66
Payout Ratio	80.31%	82.25%	84.19%	86.12%	88.06%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	60.41	64.93	69.75	74.89	80.37	86.21	91.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	3.95%	4.95%	5.95%
Year 1 PV (M)	60.37	60.95	61.53
Year 2 PV (M)	60.29	61.45	62.63
Year 3 PV (M)	60.18	61.93	63.72
Year 4 PV (M)	60.04	62.38	64.80
Year 5 PV (M)	59.87	62.81	65.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,790.90	1,878.72	1,969.94
Equity Value (M)	2,091.65	2,188.24	2,288.47
Shares Outstanding (M)	548.11	548.11	548.11
Fair Value	$3.82	$3.99	$4.18
Upside / Downside	-66.08%	-64.51%	-62.89%

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Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool Co., Ltd. (002559.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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