DDM Analysis: 000582.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$13.33 - $50.68	$22.47
Multi-Stage	$12.70 - $13.91	$13.30
Blended Fair Value	$17.88
Current Price	$8.42
Upside	112.39%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	43.23%	2.29%	0.48	0.13	0.14	0.13	0.12	0.08	0.07	0.10	0.03	0.03
YoY Growth	-	-	265.58%	-5.99%	7.90%	5.09%	54.71%	16.58%	-29.18%	280.64%	-1.28%	-93.30%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.64%	1.63%	1.84%	1.72%	1.16%	0.87%	0.71%	1.12%	0.19%	0.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,091.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	666.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)	425.14

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	218.37	136.48	81.89
Cash Retained (M)	425.14	425.14	425.14
(-) Cash Required (M)	-218.37	-136.48	-81.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)	206.77	288.65	343.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,343.24	2,343.24	2,343.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.09	0.12	0.15
LTM Dividend per Share	0.28	0.28	0.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.09	0.12	0.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.37	0.41	0.43
WACC / Discount Rate	6.51%	6.51%	6.51%
Growth Rate	3.61%	4.61%	5.61%
Fair Value	$13.33	$22.47	$50.68
Upside / Downside	58.27%	166.86%	501.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,091.85	1,142.18	1,194.82	1,249.89	1,307.50	1,367.77	1,408.80
Payout Ratio	61.06%	66.85%	72.64%	78.43%	84.21%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	666.71	763.55	867.89	980.23	1,101.08	1,230.99	1,303.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.51%	6.51%	6.51%
Growth Rate	3.61%	4.61%	5.61%
Year 1 PV (M)	710.04	716.90	723.75
Year 2 PV (M)	750.52	765.08	779.78
Year 3 PV (M)	788.27	811.31	834.80
Year 4 PV (M)	823.41	855.66	888.85
Year 5 PV (M)	856.05	898.17	941.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)	25,837.95	27,109.14	28,429.89
Equity Value (M)	29,766.24	31,156.26	32,599.00
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,343.24	2,343.24	2,343.24
Fair Value	$12.70	$13.30	$13.91
Upside / Downside	50.87%	57.91%	65.22%

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Beibu Gulf Port Co., Ltd. (000582.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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