DDM Analysis: VSMO.ME

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$11,963.31 - $17,304.79	$14,560.40
Multi-Stage	$19,019.95 - $20,941.20	$19,961.75
Blended Fair Value	$17,261.08
Current Price	$28,800.00
Upside	-40.07%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015	2014	2013	2012
DPS	-15.11%	0.00%	562.70	2.63	1,765.96	1,647.92	2,064.16	1,276.49	1,620.51	575.97	251.31	14.26
YoY Growth	-	-	21,284.59%	-99.85%	7.16%	-20.16%	61.71%	-21.23%	181.36%	129.18%	1,662.72%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	0.01%	8.68%	10.62%	12.21%	9.20%	13.11%	6.91%	3.32%	0.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	19,050.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)	19,048.57

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3,810.09	2,381.30	1,428.78
Cash Retained (M)	19,048.57	19,048.57	19,048.57
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3,810.09	-2,381.30	-1,428.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)	15,238.49	16,667.27	17,619.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	11.51	11.51	11.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1,324.31	1,448.48	1,531.26
LTM Dividend per Share	0.16	0.16	0.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1,324.31	1,448.48	1,531.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1,324.47	1,448.64	1,531.42
WACC / Discount Rate	8.85%	8.85%	8.85%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$11,963.31	$14,560.40	$17,304.79
Upside / Downside	-58.46%	-49.44%	-39.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	19,050.43	18,859.93	18,671.33	18,484.61	18,299.77	18,116.77	18,660.27
Payout Ratio	0.01%	18.01%	36.01%	54.00%	72.00%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1.86	3,396.26	6,722.77	9,982.41	13,176.19	16,305.09	17,260.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.85%	8.85%	8.85%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	3,088.62	3,120.14	3,151.65
Year 2 PV (M)	5,560.01	5,674.06	5,789.27
Year 3 PV (M)	7,508.04	7,740.23	7,977.16
Year 4 PV (M)	9,012.48	9,386.01	9,771.02
Year 5 PV (M)	10,142.42	10,670.56	11,220.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)	183,545.63	193,103.28	203,054.99
Equity Value (M)	218,857.20	229,694.27	240,964.57
Shares Outstanding (M)	11.51	11.51	11.51
Fair Value	$19,019.95	$19,961.75	$20,941.20
Upside / Downside	-33.96%	-30.69%	-27.29%

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public stock company VSMPO-AVISMA Corporation (VSMO.ME)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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