DDM Analysis: SQM-B.SN

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$12.00 - $16.99	$14.46
Multi-Stage	$17.35 - $19.08	$18.20
Blended Fair Value	$16.33
Current Price	$35.49
Upside	-53.99%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019
DPS	-27.25%	0.00%	0.24	5.15	7.84	2.00	0.78	1.15	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-95.43%	-34.28%	291.53%	157.53%	-32.69%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.59%	10.60%	9.82%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	524.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	5.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)	518.59

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	104.90	65.56	39.34
Cash Retained (M)	518.59	518.59	518.59
(-) Cash Required (M)	-104.90	-65.56	-39.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)	413.69	453.03	479.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	285.63	285.63	285.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.45	1.59	1.68
LTM Dividend per Share	0.02	0.02	0.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.45	1.59	1.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.47	1.61	1.70
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$12.00	$14.46	$16.99
Upside / Downside	-66.19%	-59.25%	-52.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	524.50	519.25	514.06	508.92	503.83	498.79	513.76
Payout Ratio	1.13%	18.90%	36.68%	54.45%	72.23%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	5.91	98.14	188.53	277.11	363.89	448.91	475.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	88.32	89.22	90.12
Year 2 PV (M)	152.69	155.82	158.98
Year 3 PV (M)	201.96	208.21	214.58
Year 4 PV (M)	238.67	248.56	258.76
Year 5 PV (M)	264.96	278.76	293.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,008.06	4,216.76	4,434.08
Equity Value (M)	4,954.65	5,197.33	5,449.64
Shares Outstanding (M)	285.63	285.63	285.63
Fair Value	$17.35	$18.20	$19.08
Upside / Downside	-51.12%	-48.73%	-46.24%

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Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM-B.SN)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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