Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Xolare RCR Energy Tbk. (SOLA.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$206.41 - $1,051.67$370.37
Multi-Stage$590.71 - $652.92$621.19
Blended Fair Value$495.78
Current Price$140.00
Upside254.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.001.200.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)21,007.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,970.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)19,036.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,201.512,625.941,575.57
Cash Retained (M)19,036.8419,036.8419,036.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,201.51-2,625.94-1,575.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)14,835.3316,410.9017,461.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,065.673,065.673,065.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.845.355.70
LTM Dividend per Share0.640.640.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.845.355.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.486.006.34
WACC / Discount Rate0.60%0.60%0.60%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$206.41$370.37$1,051.67
Upside / Downside47.44%164.55%651.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)21,007.5420,797.4720,589.4920,383.6020,179.7619,977.9620,577.30
Payout Ratio9.38%25.50%41.63%57.75%73.88%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,970.705,304.348,571.1111,772.0114,908.0417,980.1719,034.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.60%0.60%0.60%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5,219.305,272.565,325.82
Year 2 PV (M)8,298.498,468.718,640.66
Year 3 PV (M)11,214.8711,561.6911,915.60
Year 4 PV (M)13,974.7914,553.9815,150.99
Year 5 PV (M)16,584.3917,447.9818,347.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,755,642.461,847,062.841,942,252.54
Equity Value (M)1,810,934.311,904,367.772,001,632.78
Shares Outstanding (M)3,065.673,065.673,065.67
Fair Value$590.71$621.19$652.92
Upside / Downside321.94%343.71%366.37%

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