DDM Analysis: MTEL.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,897.70 - $5,193.79	$4,867.34
Multi-Stage	$747.11 - $816.65	$781.25
Blended Fair Value	$2,824.29
Current Price	$555.00
Upside	408.88%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
DPS	75.67%	0.00%	18.41	21.62	11.82	26.69	1.26	1.10	1.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-14.88%	82.89%	-55.70%	2,013.09%	14.78%	10.37%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.26%	3.52%	1.68%	3.47%	0.17%	0.14%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,134,366.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,504,281.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	630,085.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	426,873.20	266,795.75	160,077.45
Cash Retained (M)	630,085.00	630,085.00	630,085.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-426,873.20	-266,795.75	-160,077.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)	203,211.80	363,289.25	470,007.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	81,726.89	81,726.89	81,726.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.49	4.45	5.75
LTM Dividend per Share	18.41	18.41	18.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.49	4.45	5.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend	20.89	22.85	24.16
WACC / Discount Rate	6.66%	6.66%	6.66%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$1,897.70	$4,867.34	$5,193.79
Upside / Downside	241.93%	777.00%	835.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,134,366.00	2,273,099.79	2,420,851.28	2,578,206.61	2,745,790.04	2,924,266.39	3,011,994.38
Payout Ratio	70.48%	74.38%	78.29%	82.19%	86.10%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,504,281.00	1,690,805.37	1,895,222.33	2,119,069.84	2,364,010.21	2,631,839.75	2,786,094.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.66%	6.66%	6.66%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,570,322.30	1,585,206.88	1,600,091.45
Year 2 PV (M)	1,634,746.91	1,665,884.24	1,697,315.33
Year 3 PV (M)	1,697,582.18	1,746,313.67	1,795,968.95
Year 4 PV (M)	1,758,855.11	1,826,495.72	1,896,068.77
Year 5 PV (M)	1,818,592.27	1,906,430.96	1,997,631.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)	52,579,104.18	55,118,694.58	57,755,481.07
Equity Value (M)	61,059,202.97	63,849,026.04	66,742,557.00
Shares Outstanding (M)	81,726.89	81,726.89	81,726.89
Fair Value	$747.11	$781.25	$816.65
Upside / Downside	34.61%	40.77%	47.14%

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PT Dayamitra Telekomunikasi Tbk. (MTEL.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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