Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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MPC Container Ships ASA (MPCC.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.25 - $8.10$6.58
Multi-Stage$11.90 - $13.09$12.48
Blended Fair Value$9.53
Current Price$1.65
Upside477.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%0.460.660.990.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---30.28%-33.53%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--30.50%57.95%62.51%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)252.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)142.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)110.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)50.6031.6218.97
Cash Retained (M)110.88110.88110.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-50.60-31.62-18.97
(=) Excess Retained (M)60.2979.2691.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)443.70443.70443.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.180.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.180.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.460.500.53
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.25$6.58$8.10
Upside / Downside218.45%298.73%391.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)252.99250.46247.95245.47243.02240.59247.81
Payout Ratio56.17%62.94%69.70%76.47%83.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)142.10157.63172.83187.71202.27216.53229.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)146.50148.00149.49
Year 2 PV (M)149.29152.35155.45
Year 3 PV (M)150.70155.36160.12
Year 4 PV (M)150.93157.19163.64
Year 5 PV (M)150.17157.99166.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,532.264,768.275,014.01
Equity Value (M)5,279.865,539.165,808.83
Shares Outstanding (M)443.70443.70443.70
Fair Value$11.90$12.48$13.09
Upside / Downside621.19%656.61%693.44%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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