Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Mora Telematika Indonesia (MORA.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$81.96 - $117.96$99.53
Multi-Stage$127.35 - $140.19$133.65
Blended Fair Value$116.59
Current Price$432.00
Upside-73.01%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.0048.860.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%9.89%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)274,334.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)274,322.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)54,866.8534,291.7820,575.07
Cash Retained (M)274,322.24274,322.24274,322.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-54,866.85-34,291.78-20,575.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)219,455.40240,030.46253,747.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23,646.6723,646.6723,646.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share9.2810.1510.73
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share9.2810.1510.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.2810.1510.73
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$81.96$99.53$117.96
Upside / Downside-81.03%-76.96%-72.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)274,334.24271,590.90268,874.99266,186.24263,524.38260,889.14268,715.81
Payout Ratio0.00%18.00%36.00%54.00%72.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.0048,895.8796,802.05143,745.23189,739.86234,800.22248,562.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)44,365.7744,818.4945,271.20
Year 2 PV (M)79,695.9881,330.7282,982.07
Year 3 PV (M)107,379.45110,700.23114,088.78
Year 4 PV (M)128,606.29133,936.42139,430.54
Year 5 PV (M)144,403.61151,923.05159,752.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,507,030.632,637,577.542,773,506.97
Equity Value (M)3,011,481.743,160,286.443,315,032.07
Shares Outstanding (M)23,646.6723,646.6723,646.67
Fair Value$127.35$133.65$140.19
Upside / Downside-70.52%-69.06%-67.55%

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