Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Matas A/S (MATAS.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$376.79 - $1,485.87$1,033.66
Multi-Stage$180.54 - $197.57$188.90
Blended Fair Value$611.28
Current Price$130.00
Upside370.22%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-7.89%-10.24%1.991.992.002.000.002.996.196.196.426.06
YoY Growth--0.00%-0.78%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-51.67%0.00%-3.54%5.95%3.66%
Dividend Yield--1.49%1.65%1.99%2.70%0.00%5.11%8.61%11.96%6.23%5.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)286.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)76.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)210.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)57.2035.7521.45
Cash Retained (M)210.00210.00210.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-57.20-35.75-21.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)152.80174.25188.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)38.2838.2838.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.994.554.93
LTM Dividend per Share1.991.991.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.994.554.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.986.546.91
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$376.79$1,033.66$1,485.87
Upside / Downside189.84%695.13%1,042.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)286.00304.59324.39345.47367.93391.84403.60
Payout Ratio26.57%39.26%51.94%64.63%77.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)76.00119.58168.50223.28284.46352.66373.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)110.53111.57112.62
Year 2 PV (M)143.96146.70149.47
Year 3 PV (M)176.32181.38186.53
Year 4 PV (M)207.63215.61223.83
Year 5 PV (M)237.92249.41261.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,034.786,326.276,628.90
Equity Value (M)6,911.137,230.947,562.70
Shares Outstanding (M)38.2838.2838.28
Fair Value$180.54$188.90$197.57
Upside / Downside38.88%45.31%51.97%

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