Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Lifco AB (publ) (LIFCO-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$154.38 - $340.84$222.29
Multi-Stage$114.08 - $124.46$119.18
Blended Fair Value$170.73
Current Price$317.80
Upside-46.28%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.25%24.23%2.102.141.871.201.051.080.840.740.630.55
YoY Growth---1.95%14.74%55.60%14.26%-2.65%27.94%13.65%18.25%13.10%131.19%
Dividend Yield--0.59%0.75%0.84%0.50%0.65%1.48%1.08%1.16%1.32%1.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,563.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,365.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,198.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)712.60445.38267.23
Cash Retained (M)2,198.002,198.002,198.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-712.60-445.38-267.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,485.401,752.631,930.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)454.23454.23454.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.273.864.25
LTM Dividend per Share3.013.013.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.273.864.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.286.867.26
WACC / Discount Rate9.79%9.79%9.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$154.38$222.29$340.84
Upside / Downside-51.42%-30.06%7.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,563.003,794.604,041.244,303.924,583.684,881.625,028.07
Payout Ratio38.31%48.65%58.99%69.32%79.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,365.001,846.012,383.782,983.663,651.454,393.464,650.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.79%9.79%9.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,665.631,681.421,697.21
Year 2 PV (M)1,940.701,977.662,014.98
Year 3 PV (M)2,191.742,254.652,318.76
Year 4 PV (M)2,420.202,513.272,609.01
Year 5 PV (M)2,627.472,754.382,886.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)40,973.6242,952.6645,007.45
Equity Value (M)51,819.3654,134.0556,533.54
Shares Outstanding (M)454.23454.23454.23
Fair Value$114.08$119.18$124.46
Upside / Downside-64.10%-62.50%-60.84%

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