Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Knafaim Holdings Ltd. (KNFM.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.80 - $14.95$12.88
Multi-Stage$18.38 - $20.25$19.30
Blended Fair Value$16.09
Current Price$5.11
Upside214.84%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.210.180.000.150.000.000.000.610.350.18
YoY Growth--15.59%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%74.89%87.69%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.72%6.36%0.00%6.06%0.00%0.00%0.00%13.12%4.23%2.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)27.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.333.962.37
Cash Retained (M)27.6027.6027.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.33-3.96-2.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)21.2723.6525.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.5516.5516.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.291.431.52
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.291.431.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.531.671.77
WACC / Discount Rate9.35%9.35%9.35%
Growth Rate-4.22%-3.22%-2.22%
Fair Value$10.80$12.88$14.95
Upside / Downside111.29%152.08%192.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31.6530.6329.6528.6927.7726.8727.68
Payout Ratio12.79%28.23%43.67%59.11%74.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.058.6512.9516.9620.7024.1925.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.35%9.35%9.35%
Growth Rate-4.22%-3.22%-2.22%
Year 1 PV (M)7.837.917.99
Year 2 PV (M)10.6010.8311.05
Year 3 PV (M)12.5712.9713.38
Year 4 PV (M)13.8914.4815.09
Year 5 PV (M)14.6815.4716.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)244.63257.67271.25
Equity Value (M)304.20319.31335.04
Shares Outstanding (M)16.5516.5516.55
Fair Value$18.38$19.30$20.25
Upside / Downside259.72%277.59%296.19%

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