Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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CGI Inc. (GIB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$103.06 - $186.31$137.80
Multi-Stage$164.32 - $180.71$172.36
Blended Fair Value$155.08
Current Price$124.06
Upside25.00%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.600.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.48%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,658.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)135.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,523.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)331.66207.29124.37
Cash Retained (M)1,523.231,523.231,523.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-331.66-207.29-124.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,191.581,315.951,398.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)225.68225.68225.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.285.836.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.600.600.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.285.836.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.886.436.80
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate0.86%1.86%2.86%
Fair Value$103.06$137.80$186.31
Upside / Downside-16.92%11.08%50.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,658.291,689.071,720.421,752.351,784.881,818.011,872.55
Payout Ratio8.14%24.52%40.89%57.26%73.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)135.05414.08703.421,003.361,314.191,636.211,732.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate0.86%1.86%2.86%
Year 1 PV (M)384.60388.41392.22
Year 2 PV (M)606.82618.91631.13
Year 3 PV (M)803.94828.09852.72
Year 4 PV (M)978.031,017.401,057.94
Year 5 PV (M)1,130.981,188.181,247.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)33,179.4034,857.2336,602.26
Equity Value (M)37,083.7738,898.2240,783.94
Shares Outstanding (M)225.68225.68225.68
Fair Value$164.32$172.36$180.71
Upside / Downside32.45%38.93%45.66%

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