DDM Analysis: FCP.LS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$15.17 - $34.34	$22.04
Multi-Stage	$64.38 - $71.17	$67.71
Blended Fair Value	$44.87
Current Price	$1.05
Upside	4,173.35%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-100.00%	-2.39%	0.00%	-100.00%	269.50%	-97.30%	1,015.91%	86.31%	-35.03%	39.85%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	1.46%	1.56%	0.00%	0.30%	0.07%	3.08%	0.28%	0.17%	0.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	18.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)	17.80

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3.64	2.27	1.36
Cash Retained (M)	17.80	17.80	17.80
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3.64	-2.27	-1.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)	14.17	15.53	16.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	22.50	22.50	22.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.63	0.69	0.73
LTM Dividend per Share	0.02	0.02	0.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.63	0.69	0.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.65	0.71	0.75
WACC / Discount Rate	2.18%	2.18%	2.18%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$15.17	$22.04	$34.34
Upside / Downside	1,344.51%	1,998.60%	3,170.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	18.18	18.00	17.82	17.64	17.46	17.29	17.81
Payout Ratio	2.05%	19.64%	37.23%	54.82%	72.41%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.37	3.53	6.63	9.67	12.64	15.56	16.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	2.18%	2.18%	2.18%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	3.42	3.46	3.49
Year 2 PV (M)	6.23	6.35	6.48
Year 3 PV (M)	8.79	9.06	9.34
Year 4 PV (M)	11.14	11.60	12.08
Year 5 PV (M)	13.28	13.97	14.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,405.71	1,478.91	1,555.13
Equity Value (M)	1,448.57	1,523.36	1,601.21
Shares Outstanding (M)	22.50	22.50	22.50
Fair Value	$64.38	$67.71	$71.17
Upside / Downside	6,031.55%	6,348.11%	6,677.65%

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Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol, S.A.D. (FCP.LS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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