DDM Analysis: FALABELLA.SN

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$8,658.05 - $26,227.08	$13,766.67
Multi-Stage	$9,815.79 - $10,773.40	$10,285.55
Blended Fair Value	$12,026.11
Current Price	$4,950.00
Upside	142.95%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-22.44%	-10.41%	23.77	3.60	102.02	37.09	43.06	84.72	61.44	85.72	85.90	78.68
YoY Growth	-	-	560.30%	-96.47%	175.04%	-13.85%	-49.17%	37.89%	-28.33%	-0.21%	9.18%	10.26%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.60%	0.14%	5.58%	1.47%	1.32%	4.49%	1.22%	1.48%	1.55%	1.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	863,843.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	221,686.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)	642,157.70

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	172,768.78	107,980.49	64,788.29
Cash Retained (M)	642,157.70	642,157.70	642,157.70
(-) Cash Required (M)	-172,768.78	-107,980.49	-64,788.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)	469,388.92	534,177.22	577,369.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,508.85	2,508.85	2,508.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share	187.09	212.92	230.13
LTM Dividend per Share	88.36	88.36	88.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share	187.09	212.92	230.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend	275.46	301.28	318.50
WACC / Discount Rate	6.18%	6.18%	6.18%
Growth Rate	2.91%	3.91%	4.91%
Fair Value	$8,658.05	$13,766.67	$26,227.08
Upside / Downside	74.91%	178.11%	429.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	863,843.89	897,587.42	932,649.03	969,080.23	1,006,934.50	1,046,267.44	1,077,655.46
Payout Ratio	25.66%	38.53%	51.40%	64.27%	77.13%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	221,686.19	345,842.30	479,359.75	622,780.42	776,674.28	941,640.70	996,831.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.18%	6.18%	6.18%
Growth Rate	2.91%	3.91%	4.91%
Year 1 PV (M)	322,578.05	325,712.73	328,847.41
Year 2 PV (M)	417,037.35	425,181.92	433,405.26
Year 3 PV (M)	505,364.85	520,241.26	535,406.79
Year 4 PV (M)	587,848.88	611,034.01	634,898.29
Year 5 PV (M)	664,765.83	697,699.31	731,925.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)	22,128,696.74	23,224,984.91	24,364,298.26
Equity Value (M)	24,626,291.70	25,804,854.14	27,028,781.30
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,508.85	2,508.85	2,508.85
Fair Value	$9,815.79	$10,285.55	$10,773.40
Upside / Downside	98.30%	107.79%	117.64%

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Falabella S.A. (FALABELLA.SN)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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