Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Eurofins Scientific SE (ESF.VI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Diagnostics & ResearchSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$139.65 - $624.61$325.87
Multi-Stage$73.95 - $80.78$77.30
Blended Fair Value$201.59
Current Price$60.68
Upside232.21%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.30%17.97%0.490.990.990.670.000.260.220.180.120.11
YoY Growth---50.18%-0.10%48.11%43,133.33%-99.41%20.91%21.29%55.50%9.98%11.47%
Dividend Yield--1.00%1.67%1.44%0.60%0.00%0.40%0.33%0.27%0.18%0.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)608.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)378.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)229.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)121.7276.0845.65
Cash Retained (M)229.90229.90229.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-121.72-76.08-45.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)108.18153.83184.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)193.78193.78193.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.560.790.95
LTM Dividend per Share1.951.951.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.560.790.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.512.752.91
WACC / Discount Rate7.40%7.40%7.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$139.65$325.87$624.61
Upside / Downside130.14%437.02%929.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)608.60648.16690.29735.16782.94833.83858.85
Payout Ratio62.22%67.78%73.33%78.89%84.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)378.70439.32506.22579.97661.16750.45794.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.40%7.40%7.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)405.22409.06412.90
Year 2 PV (M)430.68438.88447.16
Year 3 PV (M)455.11468.18481.49
Year 4 PV (M)478.55496.95515.88
Year 5 PV (M)501.02525.22550.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,059.2512,641.7213,246.48
Equity Value (M)14,329.8314,980.0115,654.26
Shares Outstanding (M)193.78193.78193.78
Fair Value$73.95$77.30$80.78
Upside / Downside21.87%27.40%33.13%

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