DDM Analysis: CWP.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$245.36 - $401.40	$376.17
Multi-Stage	$64.20 - $70.34	$67.22
Blended Fair Value	$221.69
Current Price	$7.09
Upside	3,026.84%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	3.16%	1.84%	0.27	0.15	0.27	0.21	0.12	0.23	0.30	0.24	0.27	0.26
YoY Growth	-	-	80.20%	-45.32%	29.66%	70.39%	-46.34%	-24.72%	27.48%	-11.59%	1.79%	18.95%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.77%	3.21%	5.39%	5.68%	1.83%	4.36%	5.33%	4.13%	5.17%	6.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	168.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	26.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)	142.02

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	33.68	21.05	12.63
Cash Retained (M)	142.02	142.02	142.02
(-) Cash Required (M)	-33.68	-21.05	-12.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)	108.34	120.97	129.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	83.44	83.44	83.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.30	1.45	1.55
LTM Dividend per Share	0.32	0.32	0.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.30	1.45	1.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.61	1.77	1.87
WACC / Discount Rate	6.19%	6.19%	6.19%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$245.36	$376.17	$401.40
Upside / Downside	3,360.62%	5,205.64%	5,561.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	168.41	179.36	191.02	203.43	216.66	230.74	237.66
Payout Ratio	15.67%	30.54%	45.40%	60.27%	75.13%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	26.39	54.77	86.72	122.60	162.78	207.66	219.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.19%	6.19%	6.19%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	51.09	51.57	52.06
Year 2 PV (M)	75.46	76.90	78.35
Year 3 PV (M)	99.52	102.38	105.29
Year 4 PV (M)	123.26	128.00	132.87
Year 5 PV (M)	146.68	153.76	161.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,861.07	5,095.86	5,339.64
Equity Value (M)	5,357.08	5,608.48	5,869.33
Shares Outstanding (M)	83.44	83.44	83.44
Fair Value	$64.20	$67.22	$70.34
Upside / Downside	805.54%	848.04%	892.13%

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Cedar Woods Properties Limited (CWP.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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