Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Capital Product Partners L.P. (CPLP)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$211.85 - $501.84$470.30
Multi-Stage$72.29 - $79.21$75.68
Blended Fair Value$272.99
Current Price$17.18
Upside1,489.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS-25.29%-17.92%0.320.310.200.440.731.361.331.763.172.61
YoY Growth--0.72%59.66%-55.41%-39.73%-46.14%1.88%-24.29%-44.46%21.47%14.54%
Dividend Yield--1.83%2.34%1.08%3.96%9.98%12.91%8.62%9.85%20.04%5.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)97.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)91.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.5712.237.34
Cash Retained (M)91.9791.9791.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.57-12.23-7.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)72.4079.7484.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)38.7838.7838.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.872.062.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.872.062.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.022.212.33
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$211.85$470.30$501.84
Upside / Downside1,133.14%2,637.48%2,821.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)97.85104.21110.98118.20125.88134.06138.08
Payout Ratio6.01%22.81%39.61%56.40%73.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.8823.7743.9666.6792.15120.65127.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)22.1122.3222.53
Year 2 PV (M)38.0338.7539.48
Year 3 PV (M)53.6455.1856.75
Year 4 PV (M)68.9671.6174.34
Year 5 PV (M)83.9888.0492.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,536.372,658.882,786.07
Equity Value (M)2,803.092,934.783,071.43
Shares Outstanding (M)38.7838.7838.78
Fair Value$72.29$75.68$79.21
Upside / Downside320.77%340.54%361.05%

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