Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Baladna Q.P.S.C. (BLDN.QA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.82 - $2.76$2.26
Multi-Stage$3.59 - $3.96$3.77
Blended Fair Value$3.02
Current Price$1.65
Upside82.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020182017
DPS0.00%0.00%0.070.000.050.050.020.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--9,077.06%-98.41%-4.09%199.76%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.67%0.06%3.44%3.27%0.98%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)425.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)424.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)85.0753.1731.90
Cash Retained (M)424.09424.09424.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-85.07-53.17-31.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)339.02370.92392.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,024.652,024.652,024.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.180.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.180.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.170.180.19
WACC / Discount Rate7.05%7.05%7.05%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.82$2.26$2.76
Upside / Downside10.33%37.05%67.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)425.34421.09416.88412.71408.58404.50416.63
Payout Ratio0.30%18.24%36.18%54.12%72.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.2676.79150.82223.35294.42364.05385.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.05%7.05%7.05%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)71.0171.7472.46
Year 2 PV (M)128.96131.61134.28
Year 3 PV (M)176.61182.08187.65
Year 4 PV (M)215.29224.21233.41
Year 5 PV (M)246.16258.98272.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,437.646,772.877,121.91
Equity Value (M)7,275.687,641.488,022.04
Shares Outstanding (M)2,024.652,024.652,024.65
Fair Value$3.59$3.77$3.96
Upside / Downside117.79%128.74%140.13%

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