Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Canon Electronics Inc. (7739.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,190.42 - $1,709.11$1,443.97
Multi-Stage$1,734.85 - $1,904.06$1,817.83
Blended Fair Value$1,630.90
Current Price$2,730.00
Upside-40.26%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.04%0.66%64.9460.0554.9750.0359.9879.8179.9359.8859.8159.83
YoY Growth--8.14%9.25%9.87%-16.59%-24.85%-0.15%33.48%0.12%-0.04%-1.57%
Dividend Yield--2.61%2.56%2.98%3.12%3.48%5.00%4.31%2.53%3.32%3.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,918.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,431.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,487.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,383.60864.75518.85
Cash Retained (M)5,487.005,487.005,487.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,383.60-864.75-518.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,103.404,622.254,968.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)40.9040.9040.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share100.33113.02121.47
LTM Dividend per Share34.9934.9934.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share100.33113.02121.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend135.32148.01156.46
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate-1.34%-0.34%0.66%
Fair Value$1,190.42$1,443.97$1,709.11
Upside / Downside-56.39%-47.11%-37.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,918.006,894.736,871.546,848.436,825.406,802.447,006.51
Payout Ratio20.69%34.55%48.41%62.27%76.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,431.002,382.003,326.594,264.805,196.656,122.196,481.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate-1.34%-0.34%0.66%
Year 1 PV (M)2,146.092,167.842,189.59
Year 2 PV (M)2,700.282,755.302,810.87
Year 3 PV (M)3,118.993,214.793,312.53
Year 4 PV (M)3,424.093,565.033,710.28
Year 5 PV (M)3,634.403,822.364,018.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)55,928.9758,821.3461,832.14
Equity Value (M)70,952.8274,346.6577,873.42
Shares Outstanding (M)40.9040.9040.90
Fair Value$1,734.85$1,817.83$1,904.06
Upside / Downside-36.45%-33.41%-30.25%

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