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KYB Corporation (7242.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,338.01 - $10,562.70$8,200.14
Multi-Stage$11,883.00 - $13,073.45$12,466.67
Blended Fair Value$10,333.40
Current Price$3,925.00
Upside163.27%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%8.82%120.43137.0186.2467.010.000.0041.3972.4156.9062.09
YoY Growth---12.10%58.86%28.71%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-42.84%27.26%-8.35%20.00%
Dividend Yield--4.04%5.03%3.42%4.33%0.00%0.00%2.62%2.87%1.98%3.77%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)26,852.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,361.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)20,491.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,370.403,356.502,013.90
Cash Retained (M)20,491.0020,491.0020,491.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,370.40-3,356.50-2,013.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)15,120.6017,134.5018,477.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.3849.3849.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share306.19346.97374.16
LTM Dividend per Share128.81128.81128.81
(+) Excess Retained per Share306.19346.97374.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend435.00475.78502.97
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-0.30%0.70%1.70%
Fair Value$6,338.01$8,200.14$10,562.70
Upside / Downside61.48%108.92%169.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)26,852.0027,039.1927,227.6927,417.5127,608.6427,801.1128,635.14
Payout Ratio23.69%36.95%50.21%63.48%76.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,361.009,991.3313,671.9717,403.4421,186.2725,021.0026,487.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-0.30%0.70%1.70%
Year 1 PV (M)9,284.919,378.049,471.17
Year 2 PV (M)11,807.0012,045.0412,285.46
Year 3 PV (M)13,966.8214,391.3314,824.35
Year 4 PV (M)15,800.5216,444.0617,107.06
Year 5 PV (M)17,341.0618,228.3719,151.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)518,619.68545,156.48572,768.59
Equity Value (M)586,819.99615,643.32645,608.28
Shares Outstanding (M)49.3849.3849.38
Fair Value$11,883.00$12,466.67$13,073.45
Upside / Downside202.75%217.62%233.08%

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