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T.RAD Co., Ltd. (7236.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18,416.17 - $42,079.01$26,834.31
Multi-Stage$23,128.94 - $25,386.51$24,236.36
Blended Fair Value$25,535.33
Current Price$4,420.00
Upside477.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS12.75%6.63%194.1881.69203.3643.7255.86106.58123.7074.2275.4663.79
YoY Growth--137.71%-59.83%365.12%-21.73%-47.59%-13.84%66.67%-1.65%18.29%-37.60%
Dividend Yield--4.39%2.20%11.03%1.67%2.09%8.01%6.32%2.16%2.13%3.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,969.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,545.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,424.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,193.80746.13447.68
Cash Retained (M)4,424.004,424.004,424.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,193.80-746.13-447.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,230.203,677.883,976.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.436.436.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share502.60572.25618.69
LTM Dividend per Share240.39240.39240.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share502.60572.25618.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend742.99812.64859.08
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate2.41%3.41%4.41%
Fair Value$18,416.17$26,834.31$42,079.01
Upside / Downside316.66%507.11%852.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,969.006,172.436,382.796,600.326,825.277,057.887,269.62
Payout Ratio25.88%38.71%51.53%64.35%77.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,545.002,389.163,289.074,247.545,267.526,352.096,724.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate2.41%3.41%4.41%
Year 1 PV (M)2,220.822,242.512,264.19
Year 2 PV (M)2,841.912,897.682,953.99
Year 3 PV (M)3,411.483,512.393,615.28
Year 4 PV (M)3,932.604,088.474,248.93
Year 5 PV (M)4,408.174,627.644,855.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)131,835.39138,399.10145,221.67
Equity Value (M)148,650.37155,767.79163,159.84
Shares Outstanding (M)6.436.436.43
Fair Value$23,128.94$24,236.36$25,386.51
Upside / Downside423.28%448.33%474.36%

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