DDM Analysis: 688798.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$101.11 - $302.86	$283.83
Multi-Stage	$40.91 - $44.79	$42.82
Blended Fair Value	$163.32
Current Price	$92.43
Upside	76.70%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-17.53%	49.61%	0.12	0.08	0.62	0.03	0.23	0.31	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	40.44%	-86.44%	1,909.87%	-86.54%	-25.91%	2,110.34%	-5.20%	687.92%	25.27%	-28.78%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.16%	0.15%	0.74%	0.03%	0.12%	0.17%	0.01%	0.01%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	352.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	88.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	264.70

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	70.54	44.09	26.45
Cash Retained (M)	264.70	264.70	264.70
(-) Cash Required (M)	-70.54	-44.09	-26.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)	194.16	220.61	238.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	231.60	231.60	231.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.84	0.95	1.03
LTM Dividend per Share	0.38	0.38	0.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.84	0.95	1.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.22	1.33	1.41
WACC / Discount Rate	6.77%	6.77%	6.77%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$101.11	$283.83	$302.86
Upside / Downside	9.39%	207.07%	227.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	352.69	375.62	400.03	426.04	453.73	483.22	497.72
Payout Ratio	24.95%	37.96%	50.97%	63.98%	76.99%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	88.00	142.58	203.90	272.58	349.32	434.90	460.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.77%	6.77%	6.77%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	132.29	133.54	134.79
Year 2 PV (M)	175.51	178.85	182.23
Year 3 PV (M)	217.69	223.94	230.31
Year 4 PV (M)	258.84	268.79	279.03
Year 5 PV (M)	298.97	313.41	328.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)	8,392.45	8,797.81	9,218.68
Equity Value (M)	9,475.75	9,916.35	10,373.45
Shares Outstanding (M)	231.60	231.60	231.60
Fair Value	$40.91	$42.82	$44.79
Upside / Downside	-55.73%	-53.68%	-51.54%

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Shanghai Awinic Technology Co.,Ltd. (688798.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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