Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Wacom Co., Ltd. (6727.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$547.20 - $1,157.57$776.17
Multi-Stage$686.51 - $751.67$718.48
Blended Fair Value$747.32
Current Price$686.00
Upside8.94%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS24.43%-0.01%20.9322.5222.9222.228.207.017.027.0321.3421.58
YoY Growth---7.08%-1.74%3.17%170.90%16.90%-0.06%-0.13%-67.06%-1.13%3.02%
Dividend Yield--3.05%2.91%3.90%2.64%1.16%1.28%1.92%1.12%5.93%5.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,178.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,964.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,214.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)835.75522.35313.41
Cash Retained (M)1,214.621,214.621,214.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-835.75-522.35-313.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)378.87692.28901.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)138.62138.62138.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.734.996.50
LTM Dividend per Share21.3821.3821.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.734.996.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend24.1226.3827.89
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate2.49%3.49%4.49%
Fair Value$547.20$776.17$1,157.57
Upside / Downside-20.23%13.14%68.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,178.774,324.634,475.584,631.804,793.484,960.805,109.62
Payout Ratio70.93%74.75%78.56%82.37%86.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,964.153,232.523,516.023,815.384,131.344,464.724,726.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate2.49%3.49%4.49%
Year 1 PV (M)2,991.643,020.833,050.02
Year 2 PV (M)3,011.543,070.593,130.22
Year 3 PV (M)3,024.423,113.813,204.95
Year 4 PV (M)3,030.853,150.883,274.44
Year 5 PV (M)3,031.343,182.143,338.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)80,071.8484,055.1188,195.36
Equity Value (M)95,161.6299,593.37104,193.87
Shares Outstanding (M)138.62138.62138.62
Fair Value$686.51$718.48$751.67
Upside / Downside0.07%4.73%9.57%

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