Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Chunghwa Precision Test Tech. Co., Ltd. (6510.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$252.07 - $373.80$310.22
Multi-Stage$462.45 - $508.78$485.16
Blended Fair Value$397.69
Current Price$1,925.00
Upside-79.34%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-45.07%0.00%0.5011.7213.5611.979.979.970.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---95.74%-13.60%13.33%20.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.08%2.29%2.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,034.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)255.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)778.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)206.89129.3077.58
Cash Retained (M)778.67778.67778.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-206.89-129.30-77.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)571.79649.37701.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32.8832.8832.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share17.3919.7521.32
LTM Dividend per Share7.787.787.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share17.3919.7521.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend25.1727.5329.10
WACC / Discount Rate7.79%7.79%7.79%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$252.07$310.22$373.80
Upside / Downside-86.91%-83.88%-80.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,034.431,024.081,013.841,003.70993.66983.731,013.24
Payout Ratio24.72%37.78%50.83%63.89%76.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)255.75386.89515.38641.26764.57885.36937.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.79%7.79%7.79%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)355.32358.94362.57
Year 2 PV (M)434.70443.61452.62
Year 3 PV (M)496.73512.09527.77
Year 4 PV (M)543.92566.46589.70
Year 5 PV (M)578.44608.56639.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,794.5413,460.7914,154.50
Equity Value (M)15,203.6515,950.4616,727.08
Shares Outstanding (M)32.8832.8832.88
Fair Value$462.45$485.16$508.78
Upside / Downside-75.98%-74.80%-73.57%

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