Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Whirlpool China Co., Ltd. (600983.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.60 - $8.66$7.02
Multi-Stage$12.44 - $13.72$13.07
Blended Fair Value$10.04
Current Price$10.22
Upside-1.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.39%3.48%0.080.710.000.000.050.050.090.100.370.05
YoY Growth---88.97%46,790,243.08%-11.29%-100.00%0.00%-42.36%-17.38%-71.96%648.80%-10.09%
Dividend Yield--0.80%8.16%0.00%0.00%0.66%0.79%1.18%1.62%3.53%0.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)465.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)89.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)376.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)93.1058.1934.91
Cash Retained (M)376.41376.41376.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-93.10-58.19-34.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)283.31318.23341.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)771.58771.58771.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.370.410.44
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.370.410.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.480.530.56
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.60$7.02$8.66
Upside / Downside-45.19%-31.31%-15.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)465.50460.84456.23451.67447.15442.68455.96
Payout Ratio19.14%33.31%47.48%61.65%75.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)89.08153.51216.63278.48339.07398.41421.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)142.76144.21145.67
Year 2 PV (M)187.35191.19195.08
Year 3 PV (M)223.97230.90237.97
Year 4 PV (M)253.60264.11274.95
Year 5 PV (M)277.12291.55306.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,516.938,960.439,422.21
Equity Value (M)9,601.7310,082.4010,582.45
Shares Outstanding (M)771.58771.58771.58
Fair Value$12.44$13.07$13.72
Upside / Downside21.76%27.86%34.20%

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