Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shandong Yuma Sun-shading Technology Corp., Ltd. (300993.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$48.04 - $110.53$103.58
Multi-Stage$16.53 - $18.09$17.30
Blended Fair Value$60.44
Current Price$17.67
Upside242.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS201.91%0.00%0.280.140.090.000.050.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--98.27%62.00%0.00%-100.00%4,293.22%-1.73%-18.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.57%1.20%0.87%0.00%0.33%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)168.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)60.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)107.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)33.6121.0112.60
Cash Retained (M)107.63107.63107.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-33.61-21.01-12.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)74.0286.6295.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)302.28302.28302.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.290.31
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.290.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.440.490.51
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate5.47%6.47%7.47%
Fair Value$48.04$103.58$110.53
Upside / Downside171.89%486.20%525.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)168.05178.92190.49202.81215.93229.90236.80
Payout Ratio35.95%46.76%57.57%68.38%79.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)60.4283.67109.67138.69171.00206.91219.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate5.47%6.47%7.47%
Year 1 PV (M)77.8678.6079.34
Year 2 PV (M)94.9896.7998.62
Year 3 PV (M)111.78114.99118.26
Year 4 PV (M)128.26133.20138.27
Year 5 PV (M)144.43151.41158.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,438.734,653.194,875.86
Equity Value (M)4,996.065,228.185,469.01
Shares Outstanding (M)302.28302.28302.28
Fair Value$16.53$17.30$18.09
Upside / Downside-6.46%-2.12%2.39%

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