Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Tansun Technology Co., Ltd. (300872.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.92 - $1.38$1.14
Multi-Stage$1.82 - $2.00$1.91
Blended Fair Value$1.52
Current Price$22.76
Upside-93.31%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.080.000.050.100.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.51%0.00%0.33%0.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)50.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)28.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)21.48
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.006.253.75
Cash Retained (M)21.4821.4821.48
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.00-6.25-3.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.4815.2317.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)448.73448.73448.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.030.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.030.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.090.100.10
WACC / Discount Rate7.47%7.47%7.47%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.92$1.14$1.38
Upside / Downside-95.95%-94.99%-93.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)50.0049.5049.0148.5248.0347.5548.98
Payout Ratio57.03%63.63%70.22%76.81%83.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)28.5231.5034.4137.2740.0642.8045.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.47%7.47%7.47%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)29.0129.3129.60
Year 2 PV (M)29.2029.7930.40
Year 3 PV (M)29.1230.0230.94
Year 4 PV (M)28.8430.0331.26
Year 5 PV (M)28.3729.8531.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)671.99706.98743.42
Equity Value (M)816.53855.99897.02
Shares Outstanding (M)448.73448.73448.73
Fair Value$1.82$1.91$2.00
Upside / Downside-92.01%-91.62%-91.22%

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