DDM Analysis: 300458.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$10.06 - $37.40	$16.87
Multi-Stage	$8.16 - $8.92	$8.53
Blended Fair Value	$12.70
Current Price	$51.82
Upside	-75.49%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-0.05%	1.65%	0.12	0.12	0.21	0.16	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.06	0.04	0.03
YoY Growth	-	-	0.68%	-42.68%	29.25%	33.74%	0.00%	1,097.14%	-83.43%	56.21%	33.33%	-71.43%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.29%	0.77%	0.98%	0.73%	0.86%	1.07%	0.10%	0.60%	0.27%	0.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	294.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	163.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)	130.41

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	58.84	36.77	22.06
Cash Retained (M)	130.41	130.41	130.41
(-) Cash Required (M)	-58.84	-36.77	-22.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)	71.57	93.64	108.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	833.64	833.64	833.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.09	0.11	0.13
LTM Dividend per Share	0.20	0.20	0.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.09	0.11	0.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.28	0.31	0.33
WACC / Discount Rate	7.23%	7.23%	7.23%
Growth Rate	4.30%	5.30%	6.30%
Fair Value	$10.06	$16.87	$37.40
Upside / Downside	-80.59%	-67.45%	-27.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	294.20	309.79	326.21	343.50	361.70	380.87	392.30
Payout Ratio	55.67%	62.54%	69.40%	76.27%	83.13%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	163.79	193.74	226.40	261.98	300.70	342.79	362.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.23%	7.23%	7.23%
Growth Rate	4.30%	5.30%	6.30%
Year 1 PV (M)	178.96	180.68	182.39
Year 2 PV (M)	193.19	196.91	200.67
Year 3 PV (M)	206.50	212.50	218.61
Year 4 PV (M)	218.94	227.46	236.23
Year 5 PV (M)	230.55	241.82	253.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)	5,772.94	6,055.04	6,348.07
Equity Value (M)	6,801.08	7,114.41	7,439.49
Shares Outstanding (M)	833.64	833.64	833.64
Fair Value	$8.16	$8.53	$8.92
Upside / Downside	-84.26%	-83.53%	-82.78%

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Allwinnertech Technology Co.,Ltd. (300458.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener