Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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YM Tech Co., Ltd. (273640.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,364.45 - $6,696.45$5,452.12
Multi-Stage$9,419.25 - $10,373.97$9,887.21
Blended Fair Value$7,669.67
Current Price$8,600.00
Upside-10.82%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%189.58407.72214.590.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---53.50%90.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.89%3.08%0.96%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,925.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,429.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,496.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)985.10615.69369.41
Cash Retained (M)3,496.263,496.263,496.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-985.10-615.69-369.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,511.162,880.583,126.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.2210.2210.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share245.70281.84305.94
LTM Dividend per Share139.84139.84139.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share245.70281.84305.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend385.54421.68445.78
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4,364.45$5,452.12$6,696.45
Upside / Downside-49.25%-36.60%-22.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,925.504,876.244,827.484,779.214,731.414,684.104,824.62
Payout Ratio29.02%41.21%53.41%65.61%77.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,429.232,009.682,578.373,135.483,681.204,215.694,462.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,865.211,884.241,903.28
Year 2 PV (M)2,221.002,266.562,312.58
Year 3 PV (M)2,506.742,584.272,663.37
Year 4 PV (M)2,731.472,844.682,961.37
Year 5 PV (M)2,903.203,054.383,211.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)84,041.8188,418.0792,974.75
Equity Value (M)96,269.44101,052.19106,027.13
Shares Outstanding (M)10.2210.2210.22
Fair Value$9,419.25$9,887.21$10,373.97
Upside / Downside9.53%14.97%20.63%

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