Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Ajinomoto (Malaysia) Bhd (2658.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$95.56 - $182.33$170.87
Multi-Stage$28.61 - $31.32$29.94
Blended Fair Value$100.40
Current Price$13.98
Upside618.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS39.74%29.76%2.500.090.080.380.490.470.461.550.340.20
YoY Growth--2,651.66%7.06%-77.78%-22.41%4.89%1.08%-70.00%359.26%68.75%8.11%
Dividend Yield--19.50%0.59%0.57%3.19%3.18%2.76%2.64%7.01%1.39%1.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)55.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24.84
(=) Cash Retained (M)30.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.156.974.18
Cash Retained (M)30.9030.9030.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.15-6.97-4.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.7623.9426.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)60.8060.8060.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.320.390.44
LTM Dividend per Share0.410.410.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.320.390.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.730.800.85
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$95.56$170.87$182.33
Upside / Downside583.56%1,122.23%1,204.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)55.7459.3663.2267.3371.7176.3778.66
Payout Ratio44.56%53.65%62.73%71.82%80.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24.8431.8539.6648.3658.0268.7372.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)29.6729.9630.24
Year 2 PV (M)34.4435.0935.76
Year 3 PV (M)39.1340.2541.39
Year 4 PV (M)43.7445.4247.15
Year 5 PV (M)48.2850.6253.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,544.381,618.971,696.42
Equity Value (M)1,739.641,820.311,904.00
Shares Outstanding (M)60.8060.8060.80
Fair Value$28.61$29.94$31.32
Upside / Downside104.67%114.16%124.01%

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