DDM Analysis: 1913.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$104.93 - $123.63	$115.86
Multi-Stage	$73.05 - $80.15	$76.53
Blended Fair Value	$96.19
Current Price	$5.26
Upside	1,728.78%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2017	2016
DPS	17.95%	2.22%	0.14	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	0.06	0.08	0.13	0.11	0.11
YoY Growth	-	-	24.55%	57.14%	100.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-20.00%	-42.71%	19.01%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.83%	2.16%	1.33%	0.62%	0.00%	1.63%	2.61%	4.35%	2.88%	3.85%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,590.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	763.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)	827.64

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	318.13	198.83	119.30
Cash Retained (M)	827.64	827.64	827.64
(-) Cash Required (M)	-318.13	-198.83	-119.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)	509.51	628.81	708.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,558.82	2,558.82	2,558.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.20	0.25	0.28
LTM Dividend per Share	0.30	0.30	0.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.20	0.25	0.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.50	0.54	0.58
WACC / Discount Rate	1.89%	1.89%	1.89%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$104.93	$115.86	$123.63
Upside / Downside	1,894.90%	2,102.60%	2,250.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,590.65	1,694.04	1,804.15	1,921.42	2,046.32	2,179.33	2,244.71
Payout Ratio	47.97%	56.37%	64.78%	73.19%	81.59%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	763.01	955.01	1,168.75	1,406.24	1,669.66	1,961.39	2,076.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	1.89%	1.89%	1.89%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	928.52	937.32	946.12
Year 2 PV (M)	1,104.81	1,125.85	1,147.09
Year 3 PV (M)	1,292.42	1,329.52	1,367.33
Year 4 PV (M)	1,491.96	1,549.33	1,608.35
Year 5 PV (M)	1,704.02	1,786.32	1,871.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)	180,388.98	189,101.83	198,148.15
Equity Value (M)	186,910.70	195,830.18	205,088.81
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,558.82	2,558.82	2,558.82
Fair Value	$73.05	$76.53	$80.15
Upside / Downside	1,288.70%	1,354.97%	1,423.76%

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Prada S.p.A. (1913.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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