Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Polytec Holding AG (0GOX.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.60 - $22.56$9.81
Multi-Stage$10.80 - $11.94$11.36
Blended Fair Value$10.58
Current Price$3.28
Upside222.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.100.110.290.010.390.430.410.310.24
YoY Growth---100.00%-9.09%-63.88%2,578.80%-97.17%-10.86%6.00%32.47%28.19%-9.93%
Dividend Yield--0.00%2.88%2.30%4.41%0.10%8.96%4.94%2.61%2.33%3.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.560.350.21
Cash Retained (M)2.392.392.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.56-0.35-0.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.832.042.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.7922.7922.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.090.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.090.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.11
WACC / Discount Rate0.08%0.08%0.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.60$9.81$22.56
Upside / Downside40.33%199.03%587.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2.782.752.722.702.672.642.72
Payout Ratio14.11%29.28%44.46%59.64%74.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.390.811.211.612.002.382.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.08%0.08%0.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)0.800.810.81
Year 2 PV (M)1.181.211.23
Year 3 PV (M)1.561.601.65
Year 4 PV (M)1.911.992.07
Year 5 PV (M)2.252.372.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)238.41250.83263.75
Equity Value (M)246.11258.81272.02
Shares Outstanding (M)22.7922.7922.79
Fair Value$10.80$11.36$11.94
Upside / Downside229.22%246.20%263.87%

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