Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Samsung Publishing Co., Ltd (068290.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: PublishingSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,140.30 - $4,113.23$3,651.22
Multi-Stage$10,961.76 - $12,232.46$11,582.83
Blended Fair Value$7,617.03
Current Price$15,390.00
Upside-50.51%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.87%5.01%199.62199.62252.30199.6299.8199.81149.72109.79152.33122.39
YoY Growth--0.00%-20.88%26.39%100.00%0.00%-33.33%36.36%-27.93%24.47%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.38%0.95%1.10%0.60%0.22%0.49%0.84%1.15%1.41%1.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,520.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,000.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,520.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,904.141,190.09714.05
Cash Retained (M)7,520.717,520.717,520.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,904.14-1,190.09-714.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,616.576,330.626,806.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.0210.0210.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share560.60631.87679.39
LTM Dividend per Share199.62199.62199.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share560.60631.87679.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend760.22831.50879.01
WACC / Discount Rate6.23%6.23%6.23%
Growth Rate-14.48%-13.48%-12.48%
Fair Value$3,140.30$3,651.22$4,113.23
Upside / Downside-79.60%-76.28%-73.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,520.718,237.537,127.296,166.695,335.564,616.444,754.94
Payout Ratio21.01%34.81%48.60%62.40%76.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,000.002,867.113,464.163,848.184,065.774,154.804,398.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.23%6.23%6.23%
Growth Rate-14.48%-13.48%-12.48%
Year 1 PV (M)2,667.872,699.072,730.26
Year 2 PV (M)2,999.433,069.983,141.36
Year 3 PV (M)3,100.403,210.433,323.04
Year 4 PV (M)3,048.073,193.153,343.35
Year 5 PV (M)2,898.363,071.823,253.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)95,109.97100,802.08106,763.51
Equity Value (M)109,824.10116,046.53122,555.01
Shares Outstanding (M)10.0210.0210.02
Fair Value$10,961.76$11,582.83$12,232.46
Upside / Downside-28.77%-24.74%-20.52%

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