Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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HANA Micron Inc. (067310.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,216.93 - $9,487.60$6,992.04
Multi-Stage$16,214.90 - $17,878.32$17,030.20
Blended Fair Value$12,011.12
Current Price$22,150.00
Upside-45.77%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS1.09%0.00%82.86105.50136.14135.5268.6278.490.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---21.46%-22.51%0.46%97.49%-12.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.71%0.41%0.96%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)21,609.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,448.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)14,161.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,321.932,701.211,620.72
Cash Retained (M)14,161.4614,161.4614,161.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,321.93-2,701.21-1,620.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,839.5311,460.2612,540.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)57.6957.6957.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share170.56198.65217.38
LTM Dividend per Share129.11129.11129.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share170.56198.65217.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend299.67327.76346.49
WACC / Discount Rate4.78%4.78%4.78%
Growth Rate-0.91%0.09%1.09%
Fair Value$5,216.93$6,992.04$9,487.60
Upside / Downside-76.45%-68.43%-57.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)21,609.6721,628.9021,648.1521,667.4221,686.7121,706.0122,357.19
Payout Ratio34.47%45.57%56.68%67.79%78.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,448.209,857.0712,270.2114,687.6517,109.3819,535.4120,680.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.78%4.78%4.78%
Growth Rate-0.91%0.09%1.09%
Year 1 PV (M)9,313.339,407.329,501.31
Year 2 PV (M)10,953.8511,176.0611,400.49
Year 3 PV (M)12,388.6612,767.5313,154.06
Year 4 PV (M)13,635.2614,194.0814,769.89
Year 5 PV (M)14,709.8815,467.2716,255.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)874,432.48919,455.69966,314.62
Equity Value (M)935,433.47982,467.951,031,395.92
Shares Outstanding (M)57.6957.6957.69
Fair Value$16,214.90$17,030.20$17,878.32
Upside / Downside-26.80%-23.11%-19.29%

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