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Definitive Analysis

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Nice Information & Telecommunication, Inc. (036800.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$199,460.11 - $1,027,287.44$405,957.49
Multi-Stage$109,291.03 - $119,600.67$114,351.39
Blended Fair Value$260,154.44
Current Price$23,000.00
Upside1,031.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.65%11.46%749.36690.73633.18493.67493.67451.72380.72385.34330.29264.23
YoY Growth--8.49%9.09%28.26%0.00%9.29%18.65%-1.20%16.67%25.00%4.35%
Dividend Yield--4.27%3.27%2.54%1.69%1.59%1.92%1.79%1.66%1.32%0.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)45,119.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,076.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)38,043.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,023.865,639.913,383.95
Cash Retained (M)38,043.1738,043.1738,043.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,023.86-5,639.91-3,383.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)29,019.3132,403.2634,659.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.738.738.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share3,322.283,709.703,967.97
LTM Dividend per Share810.11810.11810.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share3,322.283,709.703,967.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,132.394,519.814,778.08
WACC / Discount Rate7.69%7.69%7.69%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$199,460.11$405,957.49$1,027,287.44
Upside / Downside767.22%1,665.03%4,366.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)45,119.2948,052.0451,175.4354,501.8358,044.4561,817.3463,671.86
Payout Ratio15.68%30.55%45.41%60.27%75.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,076.1214,678.2223,238.7032,850.0343,612.6455,635.6058,896.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.69%7.69%7.69%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)13,502.6213,630.6113,758.60
Year 2 PV (M)19,665.3320,039.9020,418.00
Year 3 PV (M)25,572.3026,306.3827,054.39
Year 4 PV (M)31,231.3732,432.4433,667.82
Year 5 PV (M)36,650.1838,420.4040,258.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)828,008.00868,001.09909,524.82
Equity Value (M)954,629.79998,830.821,044,681.99
Shares Outstanding (M)8.738.738.73
Fair Value$109,291.03$114,351.39$119,600.67
Upside / Downside375.18%397.18%420.00%

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