Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

B. Riley Financial, Inc. (RILY)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - ConglomeratesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.50 - $31.50$22.53
Multi-Stage$13.27 - $14.44$13.84
Blended Fair Value$18.19
Current Price$5.98
Upside204.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.89%53.03%1.114.633.9211.391.271.350.740.550.180.17
YoY Growth---76.09%18.12%-65.59%794.86%-5.70%81.35%35.39%214.12%2.20%989.56%
Dividend Yield--28.60%20.60%13.80%16.28%2.26%7.33%4.38%2.82%1.17%1.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.233.892.33
Cash Retained (M)13.4213.4213.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.23-3.89-2.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.199.5211.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.4830.4830.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.310.36
LTM Dividend per Share0.580.580.58
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.310.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.820.890.94
WACC / Discount Rate10.72%10.72%10.72%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$16.50$22.53$31.50
Upside / Downside175.96%276.83%426.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31.1333.1635.3137.6140.0542.6543.93
Payout Ratio56.91%63.53%70.14%76.76%83.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17.7221.0624.7728.8733.4038.3940.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.72%10.72%10.72%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)18.8419.0219.20
Year 2 PV (M)19.8320.2020.58
Year 3 PV (M)20.6721.2721.87
Year 4 PV (M)21.4022.2223.07
Year 5 PV (M)22.0023.0724.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)301.59316.15331.28
Equity Value (M)404.33421.93440.17
Shares Outstanding (M)30.4830.4830.48
Fair Value$13.27$13.84$14.44
Upside / Downside121.83%131.49%141.50%

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