Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Wendel (MF.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$167.99 - $457.69$259.01
Multi-Stage$284.06 - $311.89$297.71
Blended Fair Value$278.36
Current Price$89.60
Upside210.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.79%7.12%3.733.022.832.752.662.692.622.332.152.01
YoY Growth--23.51%6.92%2.76%3.26%-0.89%2.57%12.40%8.71%6.59%7.18%
Dividend Yield--4.02%3.75%3.24%2.61%2.72%2.27%2.50%1.64%1.88%1.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)334.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)271.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)63.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)66.9541.8425.11
Cash Retained (M)63.1563.1563.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-66.95-41.84-25.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)-3.8021.3138.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)46.0146.0146.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.080.460.83
LTM Dividend per Share5.905.905.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.080.460.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.826.376.73
WACC / Discount Rate5.29%5.29%5.29%
Growth Rate1.76%2.76%3.76%
Fair Value$167.99$259.01$457.69
Upside / Downside87.49%189.07%410.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)334.75343.99353.49363.25373.28383.58395.09
Payout Ratio81.14%82.91%84.68%86.45%88.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)271.60285.20299.34314.04329.33345.23365.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.29%5.29%5.29%
Growth Rate1.76%2.76%3.76%
Year 1 PV (M)268.24270.88273.51
Year 2 PV (M)264.80270.03275.31
Year 3 PV (M)261.29269.07277.01
Year 4 PV (M)257.72268.00278.59
Year 5 PV (M)254.10266.83280.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,763.4812,352.9512,965.82
Equity Value (M)13,069.6413,697.7714,350.31
Shares Outstanding (M)46.0146.0146.01
Fair Value$284.06$297.71$311.89
Upside / Downside217.03%232.27%248.10%

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