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Definitive Analysis

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Grupo Profuturo, S.A.B. de C.V. (GPROFUT.MX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - BrokersSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$741.84 - $2,525.11$2,366.40
Multi-Stage$332.80 - $363.85$348.04
Blended Fair Value$1,357.22
Current Price$118.49
Upside1,045.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.28%0.00%6.736.378.728.375.034.324.034.024.194.19
YoY Growth--5.70%-26.94%4.10%66.41%16.52%7.11%0.30%-4.10%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.52%6.43%10.76%11.09%7.63%7.85%4.98%5.62%6.65%8.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,790.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,095.25
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,694.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)758.05473.78284.27
Cash Retained (M)1,694.981,694.981,694.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-758.05-473.78-284.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)936.941,221.201,410.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)298.52298.52298.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.144.094.73
LTM Dividend per Share7.027.027.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.144.094.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.1611.1111.74
WACC / Discount Rate6.94%6.94%6.94%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$741.84$2,366.40$2,525.11
Upside / Downside526.08%1,897.13%2,031.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,790.234,036.604,298.984,578.414,876.015,192.955,348.74
Payout Ratio55.28%62.22%69.17%76.11%83.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,095.252,511.742,973.523,484.734,049.824,673.654,947.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.94%6.94%6.94%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,326.592,348.642,370.69
Year 2 PV (M)2,551.292,599.882,648.94
Year 3 PV (M)2,769.502,849.002,930.01
Year 4 PV (M)2,981.353,096.003,213.93
Year 5 PV (M)3,186.973,340.903,500.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)85,529.8189,660.9393,950.16
Equity Value (M)99,345.50103,895.36108,614.45
Shares Outstanding (M)298.52298.52298.52
Fair Value$332.80$348.04$363.85
Upside / Downside180.87%193.73%207.07%

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